The Follower Fallacy

Why Influence Is More Than a Numbers Game

The Follower Fallacy

Why Influence Is More Than a Numbers Game
SYNOPSIS
The Illusion of Influence. For years, brands have fallen for the fallacy that more followers mean more influence. This assumption, baked into countless marketing strategies, is dangerously flawed. The reality is grim: bot-driven engagement, inflated follower counts, and algorithmic suppression have rendered traditional influencer marketing ineffective. Worse, even genuine audiences, when exposed to influencer posts, often fail to translate into meaningful conversions. The solution lies in shifting away from vanity metrics toward performance-driven creator marketing. Rather than chasing large but disengaged audiences, brands must prioritize expert-led content, strategic paid media, and click-based attribution models that measure real impact. This means focusing on high-intent engagement, ensuring content reaches the right audience, and tracking conversions instead of impressions. By integrating storytelling with measurable outcomes, brands can drive authentic influence while delivering tangible business results. The era of follower obsession is over; business outcomes—not follower counts—must be the new currency of influence.

For years, brands have fallen for the fallacy that more followers mean more influence. This assumption, baked into countless marketing strategies, is dangerously flawed. The reality is grim: bot-driven engagement, inflated follower counts, and algorithmic suppression have rendered traditional influencer marketing ineffective. Worse, even genuine audiences, when exposed to influencer posts, often fail to translate into meaningful conversions.

The solution lies in shifting away from vanity metrics toward performance-driven creator marketing. Rather than chasing large but disengaged audiences, brands must prioritize expert-led content, strategic paid media, and click-based attribution models that measure real impact.

This means focusing on high-intent engagement, ensuring content reaches the right audience, and tracking conversions instead of impressions. By integrating storytelling with measurable outcomes, brands can drive authentic influence while delivering tangible business results.

The era of follower obsession is over; business outcomes—not follower counts—must be the new currency of influence.

For over a decade, brands have equated follower count with impact, believing that social media’s biggest stars wield the most influence. This logic has driven billions of dollars in marketing spend, fueled by the assumption that large audiences translate to brand engagement, sales, and loyalty. Yet, new research reveals a troubling truth: the vast majority of these followers are either bots, disengaged users, or simply the wrong audience for the brand. In an era of economic scrutiny and rising demands on marketing efficiency, this approach is not just misguided—it is actively wasteful.

Many Followers, Few Humans

At the heart of this illusion lies the platform economy itself. A study by HypeAuditor found that 45% of Instagram influencers have artificially inflated engagement, costing brands an estimated $800 million in 2024 alone. Meanwhile, social media platforms have been forced to purge millions of fake accounts—Twitter, now X, removed over 100 million in 2023 alone. The problem is simple: advertisers are paying for exposure to audiences that don’t exist.

Beyond outright fraud, even real followers are rarely as engaged as brands hope. A 2024 Nielsen study found that niche creators with smaller, highly engaged audiences convert 78% better than their mass-market counterparts. This shift in consumer behavior is a death knell for traditional influencer strategies, which prioritize visibility over precision.

Buying Popularity, Not Performance

The commodification of social media influence has incentivized deception. Influencer Marketing Hub reports that 27% of influencers admit to purchasing fake followers at some point in their careers, and the real number is likely much higher. These inflated numbers may look impressive in a marketing report, but they offer little in terms of actual business impact. Worse, regulatory bodies are taking notice. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission has ramped up enforcement against deceptive influencer practices, and brands caught in the crossfire risk not just financial penalties but reputational damage as well.

The Myth of Organic Reach

Even assuming an influencer’s following is genuine, the idea that their content organically reaches all—or even most—of their audience is a fantasy. Social media platforms are designed to limit organic exposure, requiring brands to invest in paid media to achieve meaningful reach. A 2024 Socialbakers study found that influencer organic reach on Instagram declined by 18% year-over-year, with only 7% of followers seeing non-sponsored posts. This means that even for the most authentic influencers, organic influence is a diminishing asset.

Followers Don’t Click—And Clicks Matter

A deeper issue plagues the follower-count obsession: large audiences do not correlate with meaningful engagement. An analysis of creator marketing campaigns found no relationship between follower count and click-through rate (CTR). Some influencers with hundreds of thousands of followers delivered CTRs below 1%, while smaller creators with as few as 5,000 followers routinely outperformed them.

This scatterplot of influence versus action underscores a simple but critical insight: follower count is an unreliable predictor of consumer behavior. In fact, Nielsen’s 2024 marketing report confirms that consumers trust subject-matter experts over general influencers by a margin of nearly 2 to 1.

Rethinking Influence: Performance, Not Popularity

So, if follower count is a red herring, what should brands focus on instead? The answer lies in performance-driven creator marketing. Instead of chasing influencers based on audience size, brands should prioritize content quality, subject-matter expertise, publishing content themselves and precise paid media distribution.

Unlike traditional influencer marketing, performance-driven strategies emphasize measurable business outcomes: lower cost per acquisition, higher click-through rates, and verifiable sales. This model allows brands to target specific audiences, optimize campaigns in real time, and hold every dollar spent accountable to business impact.

The Future of Influence: Outcomes Over Optics

The era of follower obsession is coming to an end, replaced by a more pragmatic and results-oriented approach to influence. Brands that continue to chase vanity metrics will find themselves outpaced by competitors who focus on real impact. The marketers who thrive in this new landscape will be those who measure influence not by its appearance, but by its ability to drive actual business results.

The numbers still matter—just not the ones that fit neatly into an Instagram bio.

About
Joseph Perello

Joe is the founder and CEO of Props. Previously, he was the first CMO of the City of New York in the Bloomberg Administration, and was recognized by Harvard Business School as the most innovative initiative of any city. Joe founded and bootstrapped an award-winning digital ad agency. He was VP for the New York Yankees, working directly for the late George M. Steinbrenner III, and helped the team break attendance and revenue records. He was an executive with David Bowie’s internet start-up UltraStar and started his career as a direct marketer with credit card pioneer MBNA America. He’s on the board of New York Cruise Lines and Princeton Academy. Joe earned his undergraduate degree in History and Journalism from the the University of Delaware.

The Regulatory Maze Facing Financial Advertisers

For regional banks, advertising is fraught with some of the most stringent rules in marketing. Laws such as the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) and Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) require specific disclosures in promotions for loans, credit cards, and other financial products. Adding to these legal mandates, platforms like Facebook and Google impose “Special Ad Categories” for financial services, restricting the use of advanced targeting tools like lookalike audiences or detailed demographic segmentation.

The impact is clear: compliance-heavy messaging disrupts engagement, creativity is stifled, and marketing costs rise as cost-per-click (CPC) and cost-per-lead (CPL) escalate. For many regional banks, this combination of constraints makes reaching their ideal customers a frustrating and costly endeavor.

Props: A New Approach to Financial Advertising

Props offers a transformative way for regional banks to overcome these challenges through a unique combination of creator-driven storytelling, strategic paid media promotion, and robust compliance solutions. Instead of promoting financial products directly, Props shifts the focus to authentic, lifestyle-oriented stories that resonate with audiences and inspire them.

These stories are published on the bank’s website (or a special landing page) and, critically, promoted through the creators’ social media handles. Publishing lifestyle content through creators’ handles bypasses the restrictions of “Special Ad Categories,” drives more engagement and click-throughs, and unlocks advanced targeting options. This allows banks to connect with high-intent audiences more effectively while reducing costs.

For example, rather than running a traditional ad for a home equity line of credit (HELOC), Props might collaborate with a creator to share a story about how homeowners can fund renovations—building trust and engagement without triggering compliance-heavy disclosures.

The Power of Storytelling Without Compliance Overload

One of Props’ greatest advantages lies in its ability to sidestep disclosure requirements by avoiding direct product claims. Instead of advertisements laden with legal disclaimers, Props content centers on engaging narratives that educate and inspire. These stories provide value to audiences without overwhelming them, creating a cleaner, more effective path to engagement.

A creator might share how they used home equity to remodel their kitchen, illustrating a real-life application of financial tools while staying free from the burdens of compliance-heavy messaging. This approach not only eliminates the need for complex disclosures but also keeps content relatable and audience-focused, fostering trust and credibility.

Authenticity as a Competitive Edge

Audiences are more likely to trust people over brands, and Props ensures this trust by selecting creators based on their expertise and storytelling ability, not their follower count. Creators are chosen for their ability to craft genuine, relatable narratives that resonate with specific audience segments.

Whether it’s a business owner sharing entrepreneurial insights or a parent discussing family finances, Props focuses on the quality of the story rather than the creator’s popularity. By publishing these stories directly on the client’s website, Props ensures that the bank owns the engagement and benefits from first-party data collection. Paid media promotion guarantees that these stories reach the most relevant audience with precision and scale.

Ollie: Setting a New Standard in Brand Safety for Banks

Brand safety is paramount for financial institutions. Strict regulatory standards and a heightened need to maintain trust often prevent banks from collaborating with creators. Recognizing these challenges, Props developed Ollie—a proprietary AI-driven brand safety tool that ensures campaigns remain compliant, transparent, and aligned with institutional values.

Ollie reviews years of creator content history, continuously monitors posts in real-time, and flags potential risks using advanced AI. Its capabilities include detecting if a financial offer is being made or if financial advice is being given—two critical triggers that can complicate compliance for creators in regulated industries. By categorizing flagged content as low, medium, or high risk, Ollie empowers banks to avoid pitfalls while enabling creators to craft compelling yet compliant narratives.

This innovative approach ensures banks can confidently embrace creator storytelling, knowing that campaigns will uphold their values and meet regulatory standards. By bridging the gap between brand safety and creative freedom, Ollie empowers financial advertisers to connect authentically with audiences while navigating one of the most regulated industries in marketing.

Proven Results Across the Financial Industry

Props has consistently delivered impressive results for its financial clients across consumer banking, mortgage lending, credit cards, secure cards, life insurance, auto insurance, and wealth management. Props takes responsibility for delivering actual, measurable business outcomes—a key reason for its rapid growth.

A Winning Formula for CMOs of Regional Banks

For regional bank CMOs, Props offers an unparalleled opportunity to navigate advertising regulations while driving measurable results. By avoiding restrictive ad categories and using creator-led storytelling, Props enables access to advanced audience targeting tools that improve reach and engagement.

Its compliance-friendly strategies reduce advertising costs and create cleaner, more effective campaigns. With Ollie’s oversight, banks can run creative campaigns confidently, knowing that regulatory standards are being met. Props’ focus on authenticity builds trust with audiences, while its full-funnel strategy ensures seamless progression from awareness to conversion.

By leveraging paid media through creators’ handles, Props ensures that each story achieves both the reach and relevance needed to deliver measurable results. For CMOs seeking to transform their marketing strategy and connect authentically with their audience, Props offers a proven path to sustainable growth and success.

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